In this report we analyze the video “IRASTORZA: ‘Irán es una cuestión de vida o muerte para Israel. Netanyahu se lo está jugando todo’” (“IRASTORZA: ‘Iran is a matter of life and death for Israel. Netanyahu is betting everything on it’”), published on October 20, 2026 on the YouTube channel Negocios TV (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rJM9er3MrYg). In this interview, a presenter of the channel, identified in the video as Sergio, talks with Eduardo Irastorza, professor at OBS Business School, about the situation in the Middle East, social unrest in Europe and a possible summit between Trump, Putin and Xi Jinping. Irastorza argues that the United States is seeking to exit, perhaps with one last large-scale attack on Iran, a conflict that in his view was generated and is largely sustained by Israel, for which Iran is “a matter of life and death”, while Netanyahu, who according to the interview cannot lose the elections without ending up in prison, lets Washington bear the weight of the war.
Summary of the analysis
In the sections devoted to Israel and the Greater Middle East, the video contains 21 verifiable factual claims: 10 true, 7 misleading, 1 false, 1 with insufficient evidence and 2 interpretive disputes. Its OMD Veracity Index is 70 out of 100 (weighted base: 69.7), and no penalty had to be applied, since no serious misleading or false claims were found during the analysis.
The interview does not cite sources, and the presenter does not contrast the interviewee’s claims; a large part of the current-affairs data, most of it correct, is contributed by the presenter himself. The claims of the interviewee are, above all, causal explanations and assessments of the situation, so that a significant proportion of them is not scored: they are opinions, forecasts or matters of interpretation.
The main veracity problems are concentrated in the central thesis about the war with Iran, where Iran is described as a rising power (I.8) and the United States as an actor that never wanted to become involved and that bears the weight of the war (I.3 and I.6), and in the judicial situation of Netanyahu (III.7 and III.8). The only false claim (III.2) is an error about the date of the Israeli elections.
OMD: Datos Vrs Relatos is produced by CEJAPIM — Center for Jewish Studies and Political Analysis of Israel and the Middle East. More episodes of the program at cejapim.org/en/omd-tv; the previous episode fact-checks “Yemen Has Legitimate Demands and Rights,” by Canal Red. This is the English version of the report; the original was written in Spanish and is available at cejapim.org/omdinforme/26003.
